US Super Tuesday elections: All the latest updates
Voters in 14 US states and one US territory will head to the polls on Tuesday in the largest day of voting in the United States primary season. More than two-thirds of the...
Voters in 14 US states and one US territory will head to the polls on Tuesday in the largest day of voting in the United States primary season. More than two-thirds of the...
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Voters in 14 US states and one US territory will head to the polls on Tuesday in the largest day of voting in the United States primary season.
More than two-thirds of the delegates needed to secure the Democratic nomination – 1,357 out of the 1,991 needed – at the party’s convention in July are up for grabs. California and Texas are the day’s biggest prizes, with 415 and 228 delegates, respectively.
Super Tuesday comes amid a number of fast-moving developments for the Democratic Party: Former Vice President Joe Biden received endorsements from former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Senator Amy Klobuchar, who dropped out of the race just ahead of the big election day.
Despite Senator Bernie Sanders’s loss to Biden in South Carolina, he remains a frontrunner. His fellow progressive candidate, Senator Elizabeth Warren, is looking to make up for lost ground on Tuesday. Billionaire Michael Bloomberg’s candidacy will be tested for the first time on Tuesday as he participates in his first voting contests. The fifth Democrat still standing, Tulsi Gabbard, is polling just over 1 percent in national polls.
I’m Joseph and I’ll be taking over the blog from Laurin-Whitney for the next few hours. Here are all the latest updates as voters in 14 states and one US territory head to the polls:
The national agency that oversees election security has not detected any notable uptick in either misinformation by foreign nations or targeted attacks on voting equipment during the first hours of voting during Super Tuesday.
Misinformation campaigns by Russian operatives and others are ongoing but there hasn’t been “any appreciable increase in activity,” as voters go to the polls for Super Tuesday, senior officials with the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency told reporters, according to Reuters news agency.
Election Protection, a national coalition that works to ensure election integrity, has called on Tennessee officials to extend the state’s primary after severe storms and tornadoes caused widespread destruction.
In a letter to the Tennessee’s governor and secretary of state, the group said that “the storm has made it difficult, if not impossible, for many people to vote in today’s primary election”.
The group also noted that the severe weather, which has killed at 22 people, has forced at least 24 polling stations to relocate.
BREAKING: We’re calling on #Tennessee officials to extend the primary election period for voters impacted by the destruction and devastation caused by the tornado.
Voters must be given a full and fair opportunity to vote. For those in the affected area, that can’t happen today. pic.twitter.com/edI7f4ZoH2
— Kristen Clarke 866-OUR-VOTE (@KristenClarkeJD) March 3, 2020
Super Tuesday has begun amid a backdrop of an escalating political and economic crisis over the global outbreak of the coronavirus, which has infected some 90,000 people worldwide and killed more than 3,000, mostly in China.
In Travis County, Texas, voting got off to a slow start because many election workers did not show up, with some citing coronavirus fears, Reuters news agency reported, citing the county clerk’s office. The election office said it began implementing emergency procedures, with elections staff and others employees filling in as poll workers.
One California county sought to address concerns over the coronavirus by sending bottles of hand sanitizer to polling places and asking poll workers to post fliers from the public health department on how to avoid spreading the virus, according to Reuters.
Meanwhile, the Center for Disease Control (CDC) released guidance for polling stations instructing workers to frequently wash their hands and disinfect the machine and told those with symptoms to stay home.
The Refugee and Immigrant Center for Education and Legal Services (RAICES) has released an immigration policy score card for each of the candidates.
The Texas-based non-profit judged each candidate based on 36 policy points falling under three categories “equality and inclusion for all people”, “build bridges not walls”, and “we were here because you were there”, which looks at foreign policy.
Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders scored the highest with “B-“, while Joe Biden was given a “C+” while Mike Bloomberg and Donald Trump were each given an “F”.
BREAKING: This #SuperTuesday and before voters go out to polls to decide who to vote for in this Democratic primary, RAICES Action releases a candidate scorecard to educate voters on who their best option is when it comes to immigration. #DontLookAway pic.twitter.com/8MsquuWm2i
— RAICES Action (@RAICESACTION) March 3, 2020
About 378,000 of an estimated 965,350 transgender adults who will be eligible to vote in the US 2020 general election could face barriers because they do not have an ID that correctly reflects their name or gender, according to a report by the Williams Institute at UCLA School of Law published in February.
Of those, nearly 81 transgender adults live in the eight states with the strictest forms of voter ID laws and risk disenfranchisement: Super Tuesday states Alabama, Tennessee, and Virginia, as well as Georgia, Indiana, Kansas, Mississippi, and Wisconsin.
The American Civil Liberties Union tweeted about the potential problem on Tuesday, and urged any voters facing issues to call the non-partisan Election Protection Hotline.
If you face any trouble voting or have questions about your rights, call the non-partisan Election Protection Hotline at 1-866-OUR-VOTE. #SuperTuesday
— ACLU (@ACLU) March 3, 2020
Jonathan Last, a conservative US pundit and prominent never-Trumper, has some good analysis over at the Bulwark about what state is worth watching particularly close today – Virginia.
Why? “…because it has a mix of lots of different types of Democratic voters: African-Americans, college-educated suburbanites, union workers, and rural voters. There are no dense urban cores and not a lot of heavy industry, but it might be a pretty good bellwether,” Last writes.
He continues: “I suspect we are on the way to a protracted battle for the soul of the Democratic party that pits two very different coalitions against one another: African-Americans, union workers, and college-educated suburbanites versus progressives, young Hispanics, and populist outsiders.”
Former Vice President Joe Biden is currently projected to win an average of 52 out of the state’s 99 pledged delegates.
Mike Bloomberg is acknowledging that his only path to the nomination is through a convention fight, while suggesting he may not win any states on Super Tuesday.
Speaking to reporters at a field office in Miami, the business mogul and former mayor of New York City said, “I don’t know whether you’re gonna win any” when he was asked which of the 14 states voting Tuesday he believed he could win, according to the Associated Press news agency.
— Mike Bloomberg (@MikeBloomberg) March 3, 2020
Bloomberg added, “You don’t have to win states, you have to win delegates.” He suggested that no one will get a majority of delegates and “then you go to a convention, and we’ll see what happens.”
Bloomberg was then asked if he wanted a contested convention and he said, “I don’t think that I can win any other way.”
In rural central Alabama, the National Weather Service had issued tornado warnings for at least five counties as polls began to open.
In Bibb County, southwest of Birmingham, as seven poll workers were getting ready to open up the Lawley Senior Activity Center, cellphone alerts began going off with a tornado warning about 6:45 AM, volunteer Gwen Thompson told the Associated Press news agency.
If you were affected by the tornado in Middle Tennessee today please check the Davidson County election commission website: https://t.co/213Ex0V7th. If you are experiencing any other voting issues call our campaign at 844-456-6453
— TN for Mike – Text MIKE to 80510 (@TNforMike) March 3, 2020
The storm knocked out electricity, she said, but the precinct’s two electronic voting machines had battery backups and a few people had cast ballots less than an hour later.
“We’re voting by flashlight,” Thompson said.
In Tennessee, tornadoes had killed 19 people early Tuesday, and forced many polling stations to relocate.
The New York Times already appears to be writing Elizabeth Warren’s political obituary this morning:
“Now, as voters head to the polls on Super Tuesday, Ms. Warren’s campaign has all but admitted her pathway to winning the Democratic nomination outright has vanished. She enters March seeking to accumulate delegates for a potential contested convention and is most realistically hunting for them in more educated enclaves, like Seattle and Denver, where she recently held rallies and is investing heavily in advertising.”
— Ali Vitali (@alivitali) March 3, 2020
“In many ways, the arc of the Warren candidacy is the story of her cornering an upscale demographic early, only to become confined to it, and then lose her grip on it,” the newspaper says.
The Times calls that upscale demographic the “wine track” of Democratic politics: white, affluent and college-educated voters, especially women.
Warren voted in her home state of Massachusetts in the last hour and didn’t sound like someone who is giving up just yet. But polls there have her trailing Sanders by 4 points. If she can’t win her own state, odds are that she’s not going to do terribly well nationally.
Bernie Sanders, the frontrunner heading into Super Tuesday, has cast his vote in his home city of Burlington, Vermont.
“To beat Donald Trump, we are going to need to have the largest voter turnout in the history of this country. We need energy. We need excitement. I think our campaign is that campaign,” he said.
Polls indicate an all-but-sure majority for Sanders in the state, where he is forecasted to take an average of 12 of the 16 pledged delegates.
Bernie Sanders drove himself to his polling place in Burlington, VT this morning. pic.twitter.com/sSvAoTEHxo
— Holly Otterbein (@hollyotterbein) March 3, 2020
Elizabeth Warren has cast her ballot in her hometown of Cambridge, Massachusetts.
In a video posted to her Instagram page, Warren speaks to a group of children before casting her ballot. As she leaves, a crowd of supports chants “welcome home”.
Warren has eight delegates heading into Super Tuesday, far behind Bernie Sanders 60 and Joe Biden’s 54. She has vowed to stay in the race until the party’s national convention in July.
Bernie Sanders may have the establishment apparatus of the Democratic Party lined up against him, but an analysis of voter preferences by congressional district concluded that he maintains a demographic edge over Joe Biden in key states like California and Texas with huge delegate counts.
The analysis of census data by the University of Southern California Program for Environmental and Regional Equity, provided to CNN, concludes that because Sanders performs well among Hispanic voters and white voters without college degrees, he has a strong chance of earning delegates in congressional districts where those voters compose at least a quarter of the eligible electorate.
Meanwhile, there are fewer Super Tuesday districts where Black voters and white voters with college degrees, who have been more resistant to Sanders, are prevalent, according to the analysis.
This is critical because, unlike the November general election, in which electoral college votes go to whichever candidate wins a state’s popular vote, many of the delegates in today’s primary elections will be distributed proportionally.
It’s not just about winning states, it’s about how much you win by and how much of the vote you get in both states and congressional districts. There are no winner-take-all states.
Polls have opened in the California, a state with 415 delegates up for grabs, the most of any Super Tuesday states.
Sanders is expected to win the majority, an average of 32 percent of the vote, according to polling by FiveThirtyEight. That equates to about 164 delegates, according to their forecasts.
California voters who had already mailed in their ballot for a candidate who has since quit the race will be out of luck, as there is no provision in the state’s election law for a redo.
CALIFORNIA: TODAY is Election Day!
Polls are open from 7:00AM to 8:00PM.
As long as you are in line by 8PM, you will be able to vote.
If you run into any issues, you can contact the voter hotline: 800-345-VOTE(8683).
Find your polling place here:https://t.co/H8H63rnCeD
— Gavin Newsom (@GavinNewsom) March 3, 2020
Super Tuesday is expected to be the first primary where the influence of the Latino vote will be felt, according to a report by Reuters news agency.
Accounting for 13.3 percent of eligible voters, Latinos will be the largest minority voting group in the general election, according to the Pew Research Center.
That is an 80 percent jump since 2000, and compares to a share of black voters that has been roughly level since then at around 12 percent, and a white share that has fallen 10 percentage points to an estimated 66 percent of the eligible electorate.
The Latino vote helped shaped recent local races in North Carolina and flipped California Congressional districts in 2018, according to Reuters, both Super Tuesday states.
With Latino populations leaning Democratic by about a two-to-one margin, Super Tuesday states like Texas and North Carolina could become increasingly competitive for democrats, along with Florida and Arizona, whose primaries are later in March.
The short turnaround between Saturday’s primary in South Carolina, which Biden ran away with, and today’s voting means there hasn’t been much in the way of polling to gauge what impact, if any, that outcome had on voters. This morning, we got one from Data for Progress, a progressive thing-tank.
Here’s a breakdown of the numbers just after the Nevada caucuses, which Sanders dominated, and South Carolina:
Post South Carolina:
Nate Silver over at FiveThirtyEight, one of the top American political prognosticators, has adjusted his projections and now predicts Biden winning the delegate race against Sanders, but failing to secure enough to win the nomination outright.
Sanders remains firmly in the lead in FiveThirtyEight average of national polls.
A brokered convention remains the odds-on favourite.
So this is the first fully post-South Carolina poll we’ve seen in a Super Tuesday state, from a pollster that generally has low numbers for Biden and, ummm, it has Biden +20 in Virginia, a state where the polls were ~tied before SC.https://t.co/8hFcxidICn pic.twitter.com/8VtHdd4F3A
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) March 3, 2020
Trump kicked off his Twitter game on Tuesday with tweets aimed at Michael Bloomberg.
“Mini Mike Bloomberg can never recover from his incompetent debate performances,” Trump tweeted, using his self-declared nickname for the former New York City mayor.
“Also as mayor he was very bad under pressure – a chocker!” Trump added without elaborating.
Mini Mike Bloomberg can never recover from his incompetent debate performances. Also, as mayor he was very bad under pressure – a choker!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) March 3, 2020
The 14 states voting on Tuesday cover nearly all time zones in the US. Here’s a look at when polling stations close across the US.
Closing at 7:00pm EST (00:00 GMT)
Closing at 7:30pm EST (00:30 GMT)
Closing at 8:00pm EST (01:00 GMT)
Closing at 8:30pm EST (01:30 GMT)
Closing at 9pm EST (02:00 GMT)
Closing at 10pm EST (03:00 GMT)
Closing at 11pm EST (04:00 GMT)
Tornadoes that ripped through parts of Tennessee, early on Tuesday, killing at least seven people, have closed some polling stations in the state.
The city government of Nashville said voters whose polling stations were hit by the twister can vote at two Election Commission office locations instead.
Any voter whose polling location has been affected by damage will be able to vote at either of the two Election Commission office locations today:
• 1417 Murfreesboro Pike
• 800 Second Avenue South, 4th Floor
Reminder that all polling locations open one hour late at 8 AM.
— Metro Nashville (@MetroNashville) March 3, 2020
Polling across Davidson County, where Nashville is located, are also opening an hour late due to the tornado. The tornados also affected the counties of Putnam and Benton.
Voters in the East Coast Super Tuesday states and those abroad are taking to social media to share their voting experiences online.
— M_McQuaid (@m_mcquaid) March 3, 2020
Polls are open across the United States for #SuperTuesday and there is only one thing that matters
Make sure you vote.
You have a power to shape your country in ways that millions around the world can only dream of.
— Paul Verhagen (@PJverhagen) March 3, 2020
#Ivoted in my #libertygreen shoes and #NeverthelessShePersisted shirt, and planted my @ewarren sign at my polling place. My work here is done. 🗳🗽🇺🇸 #TeamWarren #AllInForWarren #WinWithWarren #Warren2020 pic.twitter.com/tH4XWZZixP
— Mollee Sullivan (@midlomollee) March 3, 2020
More than 1,300 delegates are up for grabs on Tuesday. Here’s the breakdown based on state:
How the US chooses its presidential candidates (07:43)
Polls have opened in a number of East Coast states, including Virginia, North Carolina and Maine. Some polling locations have also opened in Vermont and Massachusetts.
— Matt “🧶” Thompson (@Fortran) March 3, 2020
Of the remaining candidates, here’s a look at how many delegates each candidate has heading into Super Tuesday:
*A candidate needs 1,991 to win
Last year Democrats saw a diverse field of more than 25 candidates. Today there are only five.